by emanuelez on 6/30/14, 8:42 PM with 26 comments
by antics on 6/30/14, 10:55 PM
As a student I remember thinking that this was incredibly alarming. Without a good understanding of this concept, how can we be sure any of what we're saying is even remotely correct?
What Knuth has given us here is the ideal treatment of the subject, essentially putting the question of what randomness is, to rest for good. He starts by taking a comprehensive, entertaining history of the landscape (in short: researchers ping-ponged between having definitions of randomness so strict that nothing was random, and so loose that they were all pathologically predictable) before finally proving a theorem that completely solves the problem.
It is a monumental accomplishment in the field, and it is quite shocking to me that it's still so obscure. It's one of my favorite results in all of CS, anywhere.
If you haven't had the chance, I highly recommend the rest of this volume (Seminumerical Algorithms). It is just stuffed with other surprising, amazing results.
by thegeomaster on 7/1/14, 12:46 AM
So just to get done with it, I pick 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 and 7 on one combo and 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13 and 14 on the other. I give it to him, when he throws his hands in the air and angrily says, "What the hell? You just wasted two combinations, these numbers are never going to get drawn!"
It handily illustrates how hard it is to grasp the concept of true randomness and probability, and even if you do get it, sometimes you'll be caught off guard and your psychological biases will kick in.
by nwhitehead on 7/1/14, 12:22 AM
by adolgert on 7/1/14, 12:57 AM
by contingencies on 7/1/14, 4:14 AM
The simplest idea of stability is constancy, or invariance. A thing that has no possibility to change is, by definition, immune to external pertubations. [...] Invariance is an important concept, but also one that has been shattered by modern ideas of physics. What was once considered invariant, is usually only apparently invariant on a certain scale. When one looks in more detail, we find that we may only have invariance of an average. - Mark Burgess, In Search of Certainty: The Science of Our Information Infrastructure (2013)
This accords well with the opening quotation Lest men suspect your tale untrue, Keep probability in view. - John Gay, English poet and dramatist and member of the Scriblerus Club (1727) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Gay
by mathattack on 7/1/14, 2:55 AM
by msie on 6/30/14, 9:53 PM