from Hacker News

Your Job used to impress people. That era just ended

by lordleft on 6/12/25, 3:46 PM with 33 comments

  • by bluefirebrand on 6/12/25, 4:04 PM

    I read a bit of this and sort of just glazed over

    The fact is that people have never been that impressed by job titles, at least not in my lifetime

    No one's ever been like "oh wow you're a software engineer? That's so incredible"

    Mostly if they're impressed, it's because it pays well and they assume I'm pretty rich

    I'm not. I do really well compared to my peers, yes, but ultimately I'm still living the same kind of middle class lifestyle my parents had while my Dad worked at a tool store and my Mom worked part time at nonprofits

  • by jfinnery on 6/12/25, 4:07 PM

    Pretty sure enough (doesn't need to be a high proportion of them, really) office workers can re-train as e.g. locksmiths or plumbers fast enough if the money is really there that a substantial bump from this effect will be short-lived.

    Hell, I'd kinda rather do something like that, if the money were as good, and I'm already reasonably handy. Pretty sure I'm far from alone, and again, it only needs to be a few percent of laid-off office workers able & willing to train into blue collar jobs to flatten any price spike.

    The idea that anyone but capital's going to benefit from this, if any of it plays out the way AI-maximalists think (separately, I think that's mostly BS, but do think this is going to provide the activation energy for another wave of off-shoring instead of hiring back US workers when the AI tools prove inadequate) seems so naïve that it's hard not to read it as deliberate propaganda.

  • by jancsika on 6/12/25, 4:01 PM

    In the 90s this same logic would have predicted that Napster would have ended record labels.

    Edit: ...or at least flip the relationship between artist and label.

  • by bradreaves2 on 6/12/25, 5:54 PM

    > This scene might feel like science fiction

    This article is fiction followed by commentary.

    If the anecdote were real, it would still be an anecdote: tempting to generalize, but wise to hold loosely.

    The article is about how AI will lead to a labor surplus in certain professions, while other professions will retain employment.

    The article compares this to the Black Death, where labor supply decreased uniformly. Labor was then able to extract concessions from capital.

    Industrialization leads to a different outcome: capital captures more value initially, while devastating workers in the short-term. In the long-term, everyone benefits from higher living standards. Even if the article is correct about AI impacts, it doesn't explain why AI is different from all prior industrialization.

  • by pavel_lishin on 6/12/25, 4:02 PM

    > This scene might feel like science fiction

    A skilled tradesperson in high demand being able to afford an investment property is science fiction?

  • by kypro on 6/12/25, 4:18 PM

    I have to admit while I think this knowledge work automation push is all going to be a complete disaster for my own life, I do love that we're finally seeing the educated, "my job is more impressive than yours" class get knocked down a peg or two.

    I come from a working class background and for years (decades I guess) my family (especially my dad) has been competing with mass low-skilled immigration, outsourcing, and automation. This has taken a huge toll on his mental health as from time to time he's struggled to keep afloat.

    But did he get any sympathy from the educated knowledge class? Of course not...

    Reskill! They say. We shouldn't protect inefficient jobs which can be done by machine / foreign sweatshop workers abroad.

    Don't be a racist! They say. If you can't compete with the salary demands of hundreds of thousands of low-skilled migrants that's your problem!

    Instead of embracing this we could of course have looked for ways to protect jobs or looked for ways to reeducated and compensate those impacted. But we didn't because that would have been bad for GDP. So we were horrid to those who were struggling and desperate for help.

    Now we deserve the same. We work inefficient jobs which can be done faster and cheaper by computers running auto-correct. Yes, knowledge workers will lose their jobs, but remember the productivity boosts are going to be great! And that's all that matters right? Businesses won't need to hire armies of devs to build an app anymore like you don't need to pay someone in the US a decent salary to make your clothes or your car.

    My advice – shut up, reskill and embrace it. Don't think you're special and deserve UBI. If you can't compete with auto-correcting machines thats your problem. Remember – unless you want higher prices we must embrace outsourcing, mass immigration, automation and AI. When you're struggling to feed your kids, remember this is good.

    </rant>

    Genuinely though, hope you guys are all doing okay, both today and tomorrow. And while not preferable, in this case the karma is at least deserved.

  • by xenocratus on 6/12/25, 5:06 PM

    I've only gotten a few paragraphs in, but this seems like a pipe dream of someone working in trades. Who, exactly, starts calling up locksmiths more when their job is gone and they don't have much money to spare? A lot of people being out of a job results in deflation for trades, not inflation. There's also more competition for the jobs that are still available, so you effectively have two sources of deflationary pressure working together. And somehow that results in a locksmith being able to charge 3x. Sure.
  • by cadamsdotcom on 6/12/25, 11:04 PM

    This article in 3 sentences:

    1. AI is coming for white collar jobs; blue collar jobs gon be primo

    2. This happened ages ago when a ton of people died at once and society had to cope

    3. You should be afraid; but we have no solutions for you.

  • by AnimalMuppet on 6/12/25, 4:18 PM

    Off topic, but...

    It occurs to me that your post used to impress people. That era ended, too.

    That is, an AI can generate your edgy takes that used to give you reputation and karma, and can do so faster than you can. So your edgy takes don't impress people anymore, either.

    (With "you" being understood as not necessarily the author, or the reader, but the kind of people who expected to be able to impress people by social media posts.)

  • by pu_pe on 6/12/25, 4:38 PM

    I guess what the article is trying to say is that people with job titles like lawyer or marketing manager were formerly presumed to be wealthy or smart, and now less so. If that' the case, it's probably a good thing that they are losing their status. However, I think market saturation is a more likely cause than AI at this point.
  • by amiga386 on 6/12/25, 4:01 PM

    > For the first time in generations, peasants could make demands. They could walk away from one lord and find work with another who offered better conditions.

    Unless you were English, where the lords with the power passed laws (binding other lords) to override your obvious leverage: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statute_of_Labourers_1351

    ... and that led to the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peasants%27_Revolt

  • by puttycat on 6/12/25, 4:00 PM

    A generally good advice is to not choose career paths based on how much they'll impress others.
  • by androng on 6/12/25, 4:13 PM

    this is another AI hype article. if AI actually starts being able to act independently instead of being human supervised for everything then I will start to re-educate myself into something physical like electrician but that hasn't happened yet. Whenever I use Cursor for coding I always have to double or triple check all the output and test it manually.
  • by volkk on 6/12/25, 5:09 PM

    Not sure if I agree that the flippening is happening solely due to AI taking jobs. I think it's a factor of many complex things happening all at once. Section 174 is a big one for engineering. Another is the fact that VC money has really dried up which affects the economics of tech. Companies spend less money now because there's a lot less free/dumb money and because of a combination of everything, we have layoffs. Some of these layoffs are fueled by future fiscal projections, but I think some are crazy bets on AI. And of course, some departments are truly replaceable by ChatGPT like copywriting, low level marketing, etc.

    tl;dr a clusterf*ck of a lot of things.

  • by dboreham on 6/12/25, 3:57 PM

    AI hype AstroTurf?
  • by lpasselin on 6/12/25, 4:05 PM

    A lawyer can become a locksmith in a few months (weeks? days?). If the flip mentioned is really happening, isn't it temporary?