by vinni2 on 4/1/25, 8:31 PM with 42 comments
by dgacmu on 4/1/25, 9:28 PM
(1) Tesla sales have crashed in Europe.
(2) BYD sales are up globally, with the largest gain in China. Most of those sales are not in the EU; the EU has imposed high tariffs on Chinese autos.
These two statements are operating independently of each other; it is not the case that BYD sales are what have caused Tesla to crash in Europe, and this is not what the article says. However, the headline puts these two facts in close juxtaposition, inviting an incorrect conclusion on quick skim. Grr, headline writer, grr.
Drawing from other sources, BYD sold only about 83,000 cars in the EU in 2024, though they are projecting to double that in 2025. So it may be that BYD will be part of _future_ Tesla sales drops, but these are likely due to price/quality more than politics.
(Re-posting this at the top level because the comment I replied to got flagged)
by IshKebab on 4/1/25, 9:05 PM
by oblio on 4/1/25, 9:12 PM
Tesla will probably be kicked out of China by the local brands. Chinese brands are hyper competitive and either make their own batteries or have strong partnerships with Chinese battery giants. Their software stacks are frequently good and the manufacturing quality can be really good (to no one's surprise, China makes half of what the world uses).
Tesla will probably be kicked out of Europe by Chinese and European brands. Even the European brands are starting to slowly launch cheaper models where Tesla isn't going. I doubt Tesla will launch a sub 20k€ car soon (or ever).
That basically leaves only the US as a big market. I doubt that's enough to sustain a trillion dollar valuation.
Note: I don't believe in Tesla robotaxis or robots doing anything economically relevant within the next 10 years.
by mulderc on 4/1/25, 9:07 PM
by t1234s on 4/1/25, 9:03 PM
by ChrisArchitect on 4/1/25, 9:13 PM
Archive links in comments please: https://archive.is/6tgod
by IncreasePosts on 4/1/25, 9:03 PM
by numpad0 on 4/2/25, 12:15 AM
I don't see how that would be the case with Chinese EVs, or Tesla, even.
by sam-cop-vimes on 4/1/25, 9:21 PM