by Wilsoniumite on 1/21/25, 8:26 AM with 62 comments
by openrisk on 1/21/25, 10:44 AM
> We talk about complex subjects all the time. Medicine, politics, economics, sociology, morality and more
For our entire history we have being talking about complex subjects we barely understood and, like proud primates, we were always very vocal and cocksure about our view points.
We experienced two cultural revolutions, first in the world of ancient Greece, subsequently in the modern era of scientific enlightenment. One can think of the emergent scientific method as effectively learning to respect complexity. Being humble about assertions that cannot be validated again and again, in different conditions, by different parties etc.
The tangible result of this new trait (respecting complexity) was pretty amazing. But only for a precious few domains. Our default mode, being 100% sure about things we have little clue about (who needs hallucinating AI when you've got humans), continues to be the prevalent one.
Whats worse, we now have what has been called "the pretence of knowledge" [1]. We know that real knowledge is powerful, so why not pretend we have it when we actually don't? This leads to a random mix of (typically self-serving) opinions coupled to the superficial use of scientific tools. A pathology most visible precisely in the above list of really complex topics.
The risk is that as the challenges of our own complex societies mount, we will undo also what we have achieved, and effectively go back to become stochastic parrots, unhinged from complex reality.
[1] https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/economic-sciences/1974/hay...
by perrygeo on 1/21/25, 2:28 PM
[1] Joseph Tainter "The Collapse of Complex Societies"
by BwackNinja on 1/21/25, 10:28 AM
The only people to respect with regards to complexity are those dealing with inherent complexity -- especially when they're building more digestible abstractions, and those working to reduce complexity due to having a substantial understand of it. It can be rather difficult to distinguish between inherent complexity and incidental complexity though.
by rob74 on 1/21/25, 10:12 AM
by somethingsome on 1/21/25, 11:02 AM
There is an even greater beauty than complexity when very complex subjects can be reduced to simpler ones without losing their power, it requires a greater understanding of complexity than what is usually seen.
As an illustrative example : QED: The Strange Theory of Light and Matter, Feynman
by nonrandomstring on 1/21/25, 10:47 AM
by 1GZ0 on 1/21/25, 10:21 AM
Although I agree with the notion that deep knowledge of complex systems has decreased over the years, I'd argue that the problem isn't the lack of interest in gaining deeper knowledge that's the problem, nor a perceived lack of respect for expertise.
I'd argue its more to do with the nature of how large codebases morph over time as they're retrofitted to do more usercases. Its a lot easy in the short term to just hack in the functionality you need into an existing codebase, instead of rewriting the entire thing from scratch every time. This comes at the cost of maintainability and leads to a lot of headaches in the long term, as systems that where never designed to work together clash in unexpected ways.
I don't begrudge anyone for not wanted to dive into codebases like that.
by metalman on 1/21/25, 11:37 AM
by DaveMcMartin on 1/21/25, 12:02 PM
As with almost everything, we need to find a balance between simplicity and complexity.
by EncomLab on 1/21/25, 11:07 AM
by amelius on 1/21/25, 11:09 AM
In industry, nobody seems to use big-O notation.
by FrankWilhoit on 1/21/25, 10:24 AM
by vbezhenar on 1/21/25, 11:26 AM
Perfection is achieved, not when there is nothing more to add, but when there is nothing left to take away.
by xnx on 1/21/25, 1:24 PM
by revskill on 1/21/25, 11:58 AM
by Painsawman123 on 1/21/25, 12:29 PM
i mean, Flying cars has been a reality for quite some time now, they just go by another name, "helicopters".
by ned99 on 1/21/25, 11:45 AM
by Dalewyn on 1/21/25, 10:33 AM
Considering "DON'T TREAD ON ME"[1] is a meme that goes back all the way to 1776, the human desire to simplify what is needlessly complicated is nothing new and certainly nothing unexpected even today. This is especially so for Joe Average who more than likely is simply way too busy already with more pressing affairs to daily life.
>Now, when many may challenge that notion of consistent progress of the world toward a brighter future, letting somebody else do it just doesn’t seem so right.
This too is "older than history"[2]. A common (misattributed?) quote from Mark Twain goes that "If you don't read the newspapers, you are uninformed. If you do read them, you are misinformed."[3]
It has always been preferable to have a healthy appetite for critical thought and to be skeptical of everything. Critical thought is how you form your own opinions, your own beliefs, your own ideals and goals in life, your own identity. And indeed, the discipline of science is predicated on putting forth hypotheses and testing them; that is questioning how the world works and whether our current understanding stands up to questioning.
What was ridiculous was the deference to higher authority without regard. Noone has the time nor capacity to question and understand everything, especially Joe Average, but to then fundamentally give up your own freedom of thought and defer it to "some group of people who would make it their life careers and ... trust them" is what was and is ridiculous. The widely derided NPC meme starts becoming less of a meme if you trust someone to tell you how to think. Around these parts we call that programming: Telling computers how to think and what to do.
>we now live in a time ... that understanding the full complexity of every topic that might cross your path is not only possible, but somehow, expected.
Personally as a millenial (age mid-30s), I grew up on a healthy course of being taught to think for myself. Essentially, that is a natural conclusion to being taught that we should strive to truly understand the world around us.
>Still, clear answers don’t seem ahead of us
The answer is actually simple: Use experts (not "experts" like some pundit on television or a political office holder, actual real experts out in the field who know their stuff and speak objectively) as a potential guide (not an authority!) towards striving to better understand the world around you.
We quite literally have a limited capacity to care[4], we must pick and choose what we concern ourselves with even as we strive to understand. Logically then, we should first strive to understand the world around us because that's what is immediately relevant to our daily lives.
Progressivism today cares so much about things that are faraway and irrelevant to your daily life, and because you have a limited capacity to care that leaves you unable to care for the people and things in your life. That is simply stupid.
Understand the people around you, not some faceless entity on the other side of your continent/island or even the planet you hear on social media. Understand the society around you, not some construct you will probably never even travel to.
Understand the world around you, your life, and you might realize that life and the world are actually pretty nice.
[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Don%27t_Tread_on_Me
[2]: https://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/OlderThanTheyThi...
[3]: https://old.reddit.com/r/QuotesPorn/comments/exkeku/if_you_d...
by vdjskshi on 1/22/25, 1:33 AM
Algorithms and AI are the new divine agents to appease with ritual.