by ecliptik on 1/12/25, 4:56 PM with 180 comments
by ivraatiems on 1/12/25, 5:36 PM
For the average person with average needs, there is no difference between, for example, a $100 Dell Latitude E5530 from 10+ years ago and a $600 Best Buy low-end Dell laptop from today, so long as the Latitude has been modestly upgraded with 8GB of RAM and a small, used SSD. Its 3rd generation i5 is more than enough to do anything they need. It even runs Windows 11 just fine, so long as you inform the customer about the need to manually install feature updates.
For the general public, buying new computers is an expensive scam that contributes massively to waste. The machines I refurbish would typically have been thrown out or 'recycled' (stripped for precious metals in an expensive process) if not for my intervention. There's no reason for this except number-go-up greed, and it should stop.
by lbrito on 1/12/25, 5:07 PM
by masa331 on 1/12/25, 5:19 PM
by arn3n on 1/12/25, 5:08 PM
by ksec on 1/13/25, 1:05 AM
Basically the last real big jump in performance was SSD. I have used M1 - M3 Macbook at work. While they are faster it wasn't that much faster compared to the switch between HDD and SSD. Even On devices Voice Dictation and other AI features worked pretty well.
As many stated software is getting slower. Security and all the other requirement will likely put more burden on your machine. So there may be a need to upgrade this 2015 machine in the future, but as far as I am concern most of those have to do with Memory rather than CPU performance. I could have a 2015 Quad Core MacBook Pro and 32GB and I am sure it will last me till 2030.
ARM and Qualcomm have both catch up to Apple in CPU performance. Oryon and Cortex X725 is now within ~12% ( IIRC ) IPC difference or even similar if you ignore a small type of workload. With X730 and Oryon 2 both expect to eliminate or even exceed that gap. Unless A19 / M5 pull some other magic tricks we have basically make High CPU Performance a commodity.
by rkagerer on 1/12/25, 7:06 PM
I build computers to last - the specs were high-end at the time, and have been upgraded over the years (video card, RAID controller, SSD's, etc). Even though it's getting long in the tooth, the box is still reasonably performant today.
It's highly customized; the case sports thoughtful additions like sound-dampening foam, bespoke brackets for additional cooling fans (all Noctua of course), hardware thermostats & monitoring LCD, interior lighting that activates when you open a panel even if the machine is off (makes it a pleasure to work with when under a desk), etc.
Choices that really panned out well include: Infiniband (this was back when 10G NIC's were stupid-expensive, but eBay was flooded with great, second-hand Mellanox cards off universities), Areca (their RAID controllers and arrays were so easily upgradeable across generations), ECC RAM everywhere, and an external PCI-E expander (six x16 slots just weren't enough).
It has in the range of 1000 software titles installed, countless ones used regularly (guess I'm somewhat a jack of all trades). Specialized diagnostics and tooling track and isolate changes made by software, which has helped manage things and prevent bloat accretion. I periodically run benchmarks to ensure metrics like bootup time, disk transfers, etc. still match out-of-the-box numbers).
When you have to install and configure that many apps, migration is a real pain, which motivates longevity (and a collateral reduction of e-waste).
by coffeebeqn on 1/12/25, 5:08 PM
by alganet on 1/12/25, 8:43 PM
I am also expecting to reuse my current daily drivers (like I did before) as backups or auxiliary machines. My laptop keyboard has some loose keys and my phone screen started to die, but they still have a lot of compute to give.
by cloudking on 1/12/25, 8:33 PM
by theideaofcoffee on 1/12/25, 5:07 PM
If only we could have a bigger percentage of people that thought the same way. Then we might be able to get away from the insanity of marketing for new New NEW when what you have will do. Maybe these huge “tech” companies will be taken down a peg into more sane valuation territories. Maybe we’ll stop with the mounting piles of e-waste driven by the advertisers pushing FOMO of not having the shiniest.
A guy can dream though.
I figure I’ll slow my pace of upgrades even more than I have now and when the software becomes yet a larger pile of bloated nonsense shat out by clueless developers than it already is, I’ll switch back to writing letters.
by sitkack on 1/12/25, 5:52 PM
A single NVME SSD can now push over 10GB/s
Main memory bandwidth is now over 100GB on midrange hardware.
by andyjohnson0 on 1/12/25, 5:47 PM
Me back in 2005 would have though this setup was science fiction.
by casey2 on 1/13/25, 6:43 AM
Alan Kay has talked about this many times, when a new technology comes around most people just see it as doing the same thing you could already do just faster, rather than enabling entirely new ways of doing something.
By all metrics the web is a slow buggy mess, but it's inherently different from a set of manpages and email addresses. While it's true that you don't "need" to do anything are you sure throughout the next 30 years that you will have no usecase for a local L*M as one example?
by maliker on 1/12/25, 5:16 PM
by dangus on 1/12/25, 11:08 PM
If they can tell it’s faster then certainly a technical person like myself can.
And also, that was an incredibly cheap upgrade. In 12 years they went from one $600 computer to another $600. That’s right, the new one was the same price, so cheaper than the original after inflation, they’ve paid $50 a year to compute, and that’s on the world’s most premium brand of computers.
Sure, you don’t need to upgrade anything. And for now, the Ryzen 3600 is a fantastic “old” processor, it runs my game server and it’s certainly capable.
But it’s not like you wouldn’t notice a far better experience someday in the future with an upgrade.
by AdrianB1 on 1/12/25, 5:32 PM
I expect to replace the desktop components in a few years when something breaks. Broken CPUs due to age are extremely rare, but mainboards with bad contacts for memory are pretty common, I've seen a lot that don't work that well after 8-10 years. I don't expect a desktop PC to work forever, the PSU will break in 10 years anyway, the SSD will reach write limit (I did a few already). But right now performance is not a concern.
by nvarsj on 1/12/25, 11:09 PM
by disciploaf on 1/13/25, 2:39 AM
by markuman123 on 1/12/25, 5:31 PM
by gavin_gee on 1/12/25, 5:23 PM
My 2011 i5 desktop is still happily chugging away as a build server, home storage, and remote host. But oh yes, it will have to be nuked, thanks to MSFT policies.
by tristor on 1/13/25, 4:46 PM
That said, I enjoy the hardware improvements happening, because it allowed me to go from that huge full tower desktop with multiple GPUs and water cooling to doing everything I need in my life, pretty much, from a 14" M1 Max Macbook Pro. I replaced a huge, power-hungry device, with something that's tiny, portable, and can be powered off USB.
For me, I am not quite ready to replace my M1 Max MBP with an M4, but I am likely going to bump to an M5, simply for performance when editing photos in Lightroom / DxO Photo Lab, but that's more of a recent requirement. Before I got this M1 Max MBP, I had a 2015 15" MBP that worked just fine for 7 years, and would have kept going if it didn't have a bulging battery and I decided to upgrade rather than repair it. I may just stick to my M1 Max MBP in the end, I can be patient.
by KevinMS on 1/13/25, 2:46 AM
by darthrupert on 1/12/25, 5:12 PM
by dangrossman on 1/12/25, 5:22 PM
by nox101 on 1/12/25, 5:26 PM
There is always new tech. Local LLMs and other high processing intensive things might be a thing people want. Not directly, but it may enable things they want. More viral TikTok videos. Maybe some kind of health monitoring. Maybe AR will finally get a compelling use case if it can identify everything in your field of view but it requires serious computing power. Maybe AR 3D movies where the characters show up in your house and adapt to your living room. Siri might suck, but lots of people want a "Star Trek" computer that actually understands them.
The point is not any specific example. Rather, it's that there's always something around the corner that needs more computing power. I have no idea what it will be, but I'm confident something will appear.
by yk on 1/12/25, 5:49 PM
by don_neufeld on 1/13/25, 1:52 AM
All that cost less than a typical PC I’d build in the late 90s.
Even as a power user who codes, I can’t imagine what I’d need more for, unless I want to train AIs.
by Retr0id on 1/12/25, 5:28 PM
I don't even use that system much because my M1 Pro macbook can do almost all the same things.
"software gets slower to counteract hardware getting faster" is mostly true, but what's more true is that "software gets slower to counteract the developer's hardware getting faster". Devs (or their employers) aren't feeling too compelled to upgrade, and so they don't, and so software is staying fast(ish). Apple's annoying RAM-upgrade pricing is likely helping here, too.
(By the way, I've diverted my hardware-upgrade itch into photography gear)
by poulsbohemian on 1/13/25, 10:48 PM
Certainly there are people with significant performance needs. For the rest of us there's a Mac Mini or an iPad.
by keybored on 1/12/25, 5:13 PM
by pmontra on 1/12/25, 11:38 PM
1. Spare parts: RAM will fail (it's 1666 MHz), keyboards wear out (I've got one spare left), etc
2. Support wanes for some old hardware. I already can't update NVIDIA driver past a certain release (I'm on Linux.)
Sooner or later I'll have to buy something new just to be able to read my screen or to cope with a failed irreplaceable part.
by hnpolicestate on 1/12/25, 8:31 PM
It's a coin toss whether I go Linux or Windows 11 once 10 becomes unusable.
by hkt on 1/12/25, 8:18 PM
by whymeworrynow on 1/12/25, 9:31 PM
Which means the MS is forcing people like me to either buy a few new computers or to finally commit to Linux.
by compass_copium on 1/12/25, 9:11 PM
by rubymamis on 1/12/25, 5:35 PM
by butz on 1/12/25, 6:16 PM
by Havoc on 1/13/25, 12:30 PM
Feels like game devs have come out of their covid slumber and decided it’s time to jack up requirements
I recently did an interim update (5800x3d and 3090) so will try to hang on for a few more years
by alexisread on 1/12/25, 5:29 PM
by nipperkinfeet on 1/12/25, 9:38 PM
by Tempest1981 on 1/12/25, 7:10 PM
Then the pain is finding a home for my old PC.
I heard about a guy on Facebook who builds and configures PCs for free (free labor, not free parts). He only does a couple each year. That sounds like a pretty fun hobby.
by zoomTo125 on 1/12/25, 10:46 PM
by ritcgab on 1/12/25, 7:46 PM
by onli on 1/12/25, 5:20 PM
by mbfg on 1/13/25, 12:46 AM
I still deal with 20 minute compile times. Let me know when that drops to 10 seconds.
by mattbee on 1/12/25, 5:42 PM
I'm reminded of the dead parrot sketch - this thing wouldn't "voom" if I put four million volts through it.
by agilob on 1/12/25, 5:40 PM
by bnolsen on 1/12/25, 8:47 PM
by stuartd on 1/12/25, 5:33 PM
by more_corn on 1/13/25, 5:20 PM
I fired up my old iPod the other day to get tunes in my shop. Hasn’t been updated in 7 years and still has all the music I like. Doesn’t come with a subscription. Still has genius playlists. Remember those? they were great. I’m so glad Apple hasn’t thought to or isn’t able to brick it.
The biggest improvement in computer speed for the last decade or so comes from more ram and much as Apple wants you to think so, it ain’t scarce.
A five year old laptop with 16gb ram is totally fine for everything I ever do (32 if I want to splurge!). I mean unless you want to run windows 11 for some unknown reason. Which, to be perfectly clear, I do not suggest for anyone ever. Did you know Linux can run security updates in like 45s? Windows wants to download a 6gb patch and spend 45min replacing your entire operating system every month. That alone should be enough to get everyone to nope.
by atlgator on 1/12/25, 8:35 PM
by kevinsync on 1/12/25, 11:01 PM
Given how much junk we (over)produce as a species, buying retail for a lot of this stuff just doesn't make sense unless you need it immediately for business or work purposes.
by andrewstuart on 1/13/25, 10:32 AM
by calmbonsai on 1/13/25, 6:38 AM
by markuman123 on 1/12/25, 5:32 PM
by Yoric on 1/12/25, 6:01 PM
So... yeah, I tend to agree.
by tuananh on 1/13/25, 7:09 AM
and yet i'm still tempted to update every years :D
by ChrisMarshallNY on 1/12/25, 5:10 PM
Bit zippier (not screaming), but it does have native support for Apple "Intelligence."
I was waiting for the M4Max/Ultra Studio, but, y'know, I realized that I have no need for that.
This has been working fine, for a couple of months. I suspect that I won't be replacing it, for a few years.
I probably will need to get a new iPhone, and maybe iPad, sometime in the next year or so (also for Apple Intelligence stuff), but I'm in no hurry.