from Hacker News

Election Battleground State Changes

by aarkay on 11/5/20, 8:02 PM with 90 comments

  • by Anechoic on 11/5/20, 10:42 PM

    Keep in mind that these numbers may not be current. For example, as of right now (5:40pm EST), the estimated number of remaining votes in Pennslyania listed on the site is 431,723, but the PA Secretary of State put the number remaining as 326,000 an hour ago[1]. The NYT API may be using modeled numbers.

    [1] https://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/news/politics/decision-2020/...

  • by lxe on 11/5/20, 10:49 PM

    Love the tech here. A periodically generated html page / json file committed to a repo through github actions.
  • by par on 11/5/20, 10:25 PM

    I think most of us have been mentally doing these calculations (inaccurately!) in our heads these past two days. But this is so awesome!

    Also, according to the trends here:

    Alaska - Trump (3 votes)

    Arizona - Trump (11 votes)

    Georgia - Biden (16 votes)

    North Carolina - Trump (15 votes)

    Nevada - Biden (6 votes)

    Pennsylvania - Biden (20 votes)

    Winner would be Biden.

  • by ngcc_hk on 11/5/20, 11:18 PM

    Can someone explain why 400k+ vote still being counted but Arizona result is called. No I am not want to dispute or argue. Just number. Thanks.
  • by mthoms on 11/5/20, 10:23 PM

    This is really useful. Nice work.

    The description for the "Block trend" column could perhaps be a little clearer. It currently reads:

    >How has the trailing candidate's share of recent blocks trended? Computed using a moving average of previous 30k or more votes (or as many as available).

    To me that says "We compute the moving average using the last 30k votes, except when we use more or less than that.".

  • by bg24 on 11/5/20, 10:37 PM

    Amazingly simple and clear. Thank you.
  • by AdamN on 11/5/20, 10:29 PM

    This is helpful. Would be nice to have this be a large table with all the active states mixed together. I could just visit this page and look for changes since I last looked.
  • by nicklevin on 11/5/20, 10:55 PM

    There’s a row in PA listing Biden with 104.3% of the vote in a block with 1285 votes (the differential increased by more than the total number of votes). Data error?
  • by TrackerFF on 11/5/20, 10:56 PM

    Nice

    Who's up for adding simple graphs to this?

  • by sparker72678 on 11/5/20, 10:13 PM

    I've been looking for something exactly like this. Thanks so much!
  • by elihu on 11/5/20, 11:05 PM

    Well done. NC looks like something might be wonky; it's reporting all the blocks as 50.0% Trump and 50.0% Biden. Which is possible I guess, but it seems more likely that there's a bug somewhere.
  • by tathougies on 11/5/20, 11:05 PM

    Why do the estimated vote counts keep going up? Why has this process dragged on for days. Where do they keep losing ballots? Why isn't there a deadline? Why are only these states still counting?

    Great resource BTW!