by burgreblast on 5/13/20, 1:55 PM with 56 comments
by burgreblast on 5/13/20, 1:55 PM
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22980932
There was much speculation, but many people agreed that in 2 weeks we would have super interesting data.
It's been 17 days. We have an update from ohio.gov that tested individuals climbed to 7536, 4439 are positive (59%), total 49 deaths (.01)
Not an epidemiologist. Does this data fit the Diamond Princess model? Or more broadly, which model fits this data best?
Is there other data to show how many became symptomatic? How do we interpret this update, more than 2 weeks after initial reports?
by sdenton4 on 5/13/20, 10:04 PM
So death rates may still be reduced by interventions. Take care, arm chair statisticians.
by romaaeterna on 5/13/20, 9:40 PM
EDIT: “Marion houses a high number of older individuals, many who have pre-existing health conditions. Pickaway houses our long-term-care center similar to a nursing home, and Franklin is our state prison medical center.”
Marion is 25% of the deaths. Pickaway 59%. And Franklin 10%.
by dr_faustus on 5/13/20, 9:32 PM
[1] https://www.bmj.com/content/369/bmj.m1327 [2] https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463v...
by whycombagator on 5/13/20, 9:53 PM
There was an article recently on HN that talked about the possible lasting effects of the virus[0]. I am interested to know how frequently lasting effects occur
by subsubzero on 5/14/20, 12:31 AM
by rayiner on 5/13/20, 11:01 PM
by kregasaurusrex on 5/13/20, 11:59 PM
Within the data itself, it shows that quarantine and isolation are effective practices against spreading covid in a hotspot. This may be a good stop-gap measure while researchers are able to study it more, but government's responsibility at all levels of keeping people safe in returning to work has has greatly fallen short of expectations.
by malkia on 5/14/20, 1:10 AM
Then there is this - https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7185012/
just the two clicked together somehow, but might not be related after all..
by lvs on 5/13/20, 11:17 PM
16% of the US population is 65+, but only 2.7% in (federal) prisons. So that must account for a decent chunk of it.
https://www.bop.gov/about/statistics/statistics_inmate_age.j...
by m0zg on 5/14/20, 12:14 AM
Also, there are fewer old prisoners than old people in the general population.
by mellosouls on 5/13/20, 10:34 PM
fwiw.
edit: the previous story https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22941493
age stats: https://www.cleveland.com/news/erry-2018/08/84f4aab48f389/oh...
(the underlying source is not accessible to me either at the moment)