from Hacker News

“Reality is the baseline for statistical analysis; not what it should have been”

by lionhearted on 11/8/18, 2:43 PM with 1 comments

• by lionhearted on 11/8/18, 2:44 PM

  It's nominally about baseball, but actually about assessing value when past statistics come from a mix of skill-based results and luck-based results, both forwards-looking and backwards-looking.

  Quite a thought-provoking read.