by ezhil on 10/1/18, 9:07 AM with 220 comments
by DecayingOrganic on 10/2/18, 9:36 AM
But, as a matter of fact, it is rather common to underestimate the importance of external forces in individual successful stories. It is very well known that intelligence (or, more in general, talent and personal qualities) exhibits a Gaussian distribution among the population, whereas the distribution of wealth - often considered a proxy of success - follows typically a power law (Pareto law), with a large majority of poor people and a very small number of billionaires. Such a discrepancy between a Normal distribution of inputs, with a typical scale (the average talent or intelligence), and the scale invariant distribution of outputs, suggests that some hidden ingredient is at work behind the scenes."
I would highly recommend people here to take a look at: https://arxiv.org/abs/1802.07068
by phakding on 10/2/18, 12:16 AM
by dkarl on 10/2/18, 2:53 AM
I've seen people succeed with vastly different, contradictory strategies. I've seen engineers promoted to management earn respect by getting in the weeds and doing unwanted grunt work, and I've seen engineers promoted to management stay so hands-off from technical stuff that new employees assumed they were MBAs who didn't understand the work they were managing. I've seen people with humble origins flaunt them at every opportunity and others all but deny them. I've seen people who immersed themselves in detail to see the whole picture and people who carefully rationed the information they consumed to avoid being overwhelmed, systematically delegating the responsibility for details.
Conclusion: that's the wrong way to try to understand the difference between luck and skill. Suppose you ran a huge experiment where you had 1000 chess grandmasters, 1000 masters, 1000 good amateurs, and so on down to 1000 chronic duffers, and they each inherited a thousand games starting at move eight (crediting the first seven moves to luck, circumstances, and childhood.) You wouldn't learn much by asking whether the winners attacked or defended, opened the middle or jammed it up, preferred their knights or their bishops. Those aren't the right questions. A grandmaster doesn't move a knight just because she likes knights, or because moving knights is the baller thing that all the grandmasters do. It's because it accomplishes something in their situation. If life was a game you could play over and over again, with executive control gradually fading in starting in the teenage years, a brilliant player might play each lifetime very differently. It's an interesting thought experiment to ask what skills you would develop as you "played" dozens or hundreds of lifetimes! Certainly not rigid rules like "wake up at 5am" or "wear the same thing every day."
by motohagiography on 10/2/18, 12:39 PM
Given the exponential / power law distribution of returns, if you are anywhere on the left hand side of that curve, you are doing phenomenally well, even if your actual place on it is random. This curve is the mechanism behind the Matthew Effect as well. To get there, you just need to survive long enough to end up on it somewhat randomly. The competitive environments in offices are really about getting exposure to opportunity - not reaping the rewards of work. This is why some seemingly dumb people do well. They have the relationships that get them exposure to the opportunities to end up somewhere randomly on that exponential curve.
You'll notice that people who fail or stagnate in offices are the ones who have been isolated from peers, customers, sales people, and other sources of exposure to randomness, and that is not an accident. Highly successful people ensure they are at the front of the queue for those random opportunities, and whether they do that through merit or mendacity is ultimately immaterial. Being smart is not about problem solving or abstraction, it's an instinct for always getting the option on opportunity.
Absolutely recommend Pfeffer on this.
by siruncledrew on 10/1/18, 8:33 PM
by weberc2 on 10/2/18, 12:46 AM
- Richard Branson once said that he didn't like when people were late, but Virgin's trains aren't very timely
- Tim Cook would probably be just as successful if he got up three hours later (opines the writer)
- General fear mongering about the dangers of executives like Jobs and Zuckerberg wearing the same attire every day
by mamon on 10/2/18, 12:41 AM
by randomsearch on 10/2/18, 7:11 AM
Don’t do it. You’ll be less effective at work and you’ll seriously damage your health. Fact.
by wffurr on 10/2/18, 12:57 AM
by harry8 on 10/2/18, 1:09 AM
by amai on 10/2/18, 7:37 AM
by lbriner on 10/2/18, 8:48 AM
I don't think I would sleep if that was me!
by rconti on 10/2/18, 5:41 AM
Shouldn't the author have just ended it there by concluding that neither one of these habits is necessary in order to be successful, rather than going on complaining?
by scottmcleod on 10/2/18, 12:41 AM
by exabrial on 10/2/18, 3:57 AM
by keyle on 10/2/18, 1:03 AM
by shay_ker on 10/2/18, 12:52 AM