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Bill and Melinda Gates 2016 Annual Letter

by comatose_kid on 2/23/16, 6:12 PM with 144 comments

  • by Mikeb85 on 2/23/16, 10:14 PM

    > A cheap, clean source of energy would change everything.

    Like nuclear fission? Or how about solar?

    Anyhow, while I think the intentions are good, my experience in 3rd world countries has me convinced that all the charity in the world won't help.

    In general, the problem in 3rd world countries isn't education, or sanitation, or lack of capital, or mosquito nets, etc...

    The problem is corruption and safety. I've seen it in my wife's country - savings rates are generally high, there's lots of labour, a ton of entrepreneurial spirit and the barrier to entry is more or less zero. The problem is, the second you start any sort of enterprise, someone will rob you. Police will demand bribes. Politicians will demand bribes. If you don't give in, they'll send their criminal friends after you. Even if you do give in, they may anyway. Bandits will come rob you in the night, and if you're unlucky enough to be there at the time, they'll shoot you. If you're lucky, they just take some cash. There's literally zero incentive to do anything, lest you get robbed and/or killed. That's reality. You want to fix the 3rd world, you need to start with law and order. Nothing can happen until people feel safe, and feel like doing something will actually improve their life.

    After that, it's infrastructure. Power, roads, emergency services, bridges, etc... Infrastructure enables travel, it enables businesses, lights, and so on. When you have infrastructure you can bring your products to market. And so on (most people know the economic benefits of infrastructure).

    In my experience, families in the third world often have the equivalent of thousands if not tens of thousands of dollars saved. Witness how much money Syrians and Afghans pay to get smuggled into Europe. They won't invest that because they don't feel safe, but they have no qualms giving a smuggler thousands of dollars.

    So much charity is just a band-aid, or worse, gets siphoned off to corrupt entities. You fix corruption and safety issues, and the third world is the new first world. But no, we give charity with one hand, and with the other are propping up horrible dictators, overthrowing democracies for choosing the wrong ideology, and encouraging corruption and oligarchy. Given what's happened in the world since I've been old enough to follow the news, I'm more convinced than ever that the developed world simply wants to keep the third world as dependent colonies.

    tl;dr - long rant, something something corruption.

  • by ghouse on 2/23/16, 8:14 PM

    I worked in energy development in sub-sahara Africa. Attempted several solar projects, all of which would have sold electricity at a price considerably lower than the utility's avoided cost from imported petroleum. We were unsuccessful because the country was concerned that by contracting with us they might jeopardize the possibility of a grant from the EU. Law of unintended consequences. Or, great example of compassion disrupting a free market doing more harm than good.
  • by dmix on 2/23/16, 7:17 PM

    This seems like a great opportunity for African countries to build on their energy infrastructure which would both generate revenue for governments and provide a stable industrial environment for development. It sounds like a critical missing component in Africa's economy. Although this would also depend on the public's ability to pay for monthly/yearly energy fees which might depend on subsidies.

    I've read a few articles mentioning how Africa has been inspired by China in recent years who focused on infrastructure as a base for domestic growth instead of just exports or raw materials.

    I can't imagine the struggle it must be to survive without access to energy and clean water. Our household recently had our pipes burst from freezing and were nearly at a breaking point after three days without water. Worse yet is the occasional black out. So I'm very sympathetic to this cause.

    Bill and Melinda are doing some great work.

    Sidenote:

    > Changes in weather often mean that their crops won’t grow because of too little rain or too much rain. That sinks them deeper into poverty. That’s particularly unfair because they’re the least responsible for emitting CO2, which is causing the problem in the first place.

    Is this really true? I thought farms were responsible for the most generation of CO2 and pollutants? At least in North America livestock accounts for something like 50% of the pollution (aka "cow farts"), even more so than oil/coal. The worlds obsession with meat is actually more harmful to the environment than cars/gasoline... but this is never popularly advertised thanks to efforts of the livestock industry and willful blindness by government agencies.

  • by ZeroGravitas on 2/23/16, 8:13 PM

    Bill's focus on new tech still seems odd to me.

    Maybe he's thought about it, and as a famous geek thinks that the number one thing he can do is champion tech innovation.

    But he specifically talks about increasing energy efficiency. An obvious opening to talk about carbon taxes that bake efficiency decisions into everything we buy (and provides a ready made market for new, low-carbon tech).

    Or he talks about coal, again a great opening to talk about removing subsidies from that industry and getting the workers retrained in something else.

    And he seems dismissive of solar, like those will only help African farmers when the sun is shining and so are barely worth even thinking about.

    In general he seems too focussed on getting carbon to 0, and not enough focussed on the low hanging fruit which, if solved with todays existing tech and policy instruments, would extend the runway we have to find breakthrough tech before our world descends into anarchy and global warfare.

    Just swapping natural gas for coal gives us much ability to burn fossil fuels, since it halves the carbon per energy output. Might not be as cool as a fusion reactor, but every carbon molecule counts.

  • by hanniabu on 2/23/16, 8:14 PM

    While I commend this, there's still also a clean water/pollution crisis that plagues the world. And in this sense, I don't mean air pollution, but as in trash - tons and tons of trash. While the US has its fair share of pollution and clean water issues, other countries like the Philippines, Brazil, and African countries allow mass amounts of garbage and pollutants into the waterways and ocean. Huge amounts of toxic waste are being exported to Africa and seeping into the oceans and ground water, or dumped into the ocean. Everything in the world is connected, so pollution on the one side of the world will eventually make its way over to the other. Another reason why this is a huge problem is that a few drops of the right(or wrong) chemical can contaminate hundreds of gallons of water, so when there's tons of pollutants being dumped illegally or stored irresponsibly, just think about the damage that can do.
  • by Reza7865 on 2/23/16, 6:55 PM

    "Poverty is not just about a lack of money. It’s about the absence of the resources the poor need to realize their potential."
  • by AndyKelley on 2/23/16, 8:03 PM

    What about nuclear power? Isn't that pretty much the cleanest, most efficient power source we know of today?
  • by suyash on 2/23/16, 6:52 PM

    Great letter, totally agree with the 'Clean Energy Crisis'. I'm glad Bill Gates stepped into the cause as it will get more lime light now. As an aside, I wish there was a way to turn off/on those side note in his blog, it was bit of distraction - that is why I prefer Safari's reading mode.
  • by davesque on 2/23/16, 7:40 PM

    It's nice knowing that a powerhouse like the Gates foundation is working on clean energy. In my view, that's the most important problem that society is facing right now.
  • by epicureanideal on 2/24/16, 5:30 AM

    Anyone care to do a back of the napkin calculation on whether there is any scenario where mercenaries could offer "law and order as a service"?
  • by emgoldstein on 2/23/16, 8:31 PM

    Whenever I see smart geeks talking about tons of CO2, I always wonder what percentage of them know whether the Arrhenius effect (temperature forcing as a function of CO2 concentration) is exponential, linear, or logarithmic.

    Answer here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Svante_Arrhenius#Greenhouse_ef...

  • by alexashka on 2/23/16, 8:21 PM

    Oh Bill, oh Melinda...

    There is so much wrong with their thinking it's sad. Here's one example:

    "If you’re an American, three out of four moms at your school have a job. Your father probably does at least some cooking. There’s a 35 percent chance you live with one parent"

    She mentions these things in passing and goes on to claim how women do more 'unpaid' work and that that needs to change.

    Really Melinda?

    You think 'equality' is more important than not having the choice to stay at home and raise your children?

    You think 'equality' is more important than the alarming number of single parents?

    How many Americans are obese? Are they really happy with themselves? Not for long if they are. Where is that in your letter?

    When you can't get the 'best country in the world' to stop eating itself to death, have failed marriages and constant fear of unemployment which causes financial ruin, not to mention absence of free education and health care - do you really think the priority is 'unpaid work' between men and women?

    Unbelievable. Who raised these people? Rich people are so out of touch, even when they try to 'help', it's simply insulting to your average brethren.

  • by Saikia on 2/24/16, 3:52 AM

    "...I feel very lucky and blessed that drstanleyspelltemple@hotmail.com were able to turn my marriage around like this with his powerful spell. My husband used to spend as much time as he could away from home with other women. Since he cast the love spell on him, My husband is now so in love with me and committed to our marriage than before. its so funny that my husband had not go out for weeks now!"
  • by crackpotbaker on 2/23/16, 9:04 PM

    I'm surprised Gates, for all his work in this field, has failed to recognise that we're burning up more food growing cattle and farming animals, than if we were to just eat the plant resources we use to feed the animals.

    It's mathematically crazy that, during a mass shortage of food in some parts of the world, we're feeding a net loss of food in order to eat animal produce.

    He's even insane enough to support getting more meat, dairy and eggs to Africa, instead of just bringing the nutrient filled crops.

    With his attitude about energy and carbon footprint reduction, there's no way, India, China and Africa live sustainably on a meat filled diet.

  • by edw519 on 2/23/16, 7:49 PM

    Poverty is not just about a lack of money.

    Someone who was gifted $1 million on the day he was born preaching about poverty is like someone who has never written a line of code running an I.T. department.